Takeaways from Tuesday’s primaries in Pennsylvania and North Carolina

The winner of that race will face Lieutenant Governor John Fetterman, who entered the Democratic primary despite being hospitalized after suffering a stroke days earlier, in a race that both sides see as crucial in the battle for the Senate control.

Pennsylvania was one of five states to hold primaries on Tuesday. In North Carolina, Republican Rep. Madison Cawthorn was narrowly defeated amid a cloud of scandal. In Idaho, Gov. Brad Little rebuffed a challenge from his No. 2. And in Oregon, a moderate Democrat was dragged into a congressional primary.

Tight senatorial primary in Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania continued counting ballots in its Republican Senate primary on Wednesday morning. The final result could be delayed in part by a printing error in Lancaster County that officials say left about 22,000 ballots unable to be read by scanners.

The first person Oz thanked in a speech on his election night outside of his own family was Trump, whose endorsement catapulted him into a very open race.

But while Trump personally helped Oz, Trumpism — the evolving forces the former president unleashed within the GOP — could have hurt him. Conservative Kathy Barnette has cast herself as Trump’s heir, seizing on popular Republican antipathy toward Oz. And although Barnette is third in the race as the last ballots are counted, she appears to have undermined the famed doctor of needed votes.

It’s a dynamic unique to the Republican primaries: Trump is such an all-consuming force in the GOP that when the Trump-endorsed candidate and those seeking to push Trumpism even further aren’t the same person, it gives space. to someone less inspired by Trump. candidate like McCormick.

And that’s a big reason why the race remains too close to announce.

Holocaust denier could have power over Pennsylvania’s 2024 election

In the state, Sen. Doug Mastriano, Pennsylvania Republicans have nominated a leading voice for governor arguing Trump’s lies about voter fraud – raising the possibility that someone who has previously tried to overthrow the will of voters in 2020 have power over the electoral mechanism of one of the most important presidential battleground states in the country in 2024.

The Trump-endorsed Mastriano will face Democratic State Attorney General Josh Shapiro, who has always championed Pennsylvania’s election process and 2020 results, in the race to replace Democratic term-limited Governor Tom Wolf.

Who wins could play a big role in the 2024 election: In Pennsylvania, the governor appoints the secretary of state, the person responsible for running Pennsylvania’s elections and signing its voters.

Mastriano was in Washington for the pre-insurgency “Stop the Steal” rally at the U.S. Capitol on January 6, 2021. He attempted to conduct an Arizona-style partisan review of Pennsylvania’s 2020 election results and debunked conspiracy theories on the election a centerpiece of his campaign.

National Republicans kept Mastriano at bay Tuesday night. But Trump remains the gravitational force within the GOP, and Mastriano’s key win shows that those willing to do his bidding could have far more power to thwart the will of voters in 2024 than in 2020.

Madison Cawthorn’s Burned Bridges

Despite some belated help from Trump, Rep. Madison Cawthorn couldn’t survive her string of scandals — or the GOP’s efforts to make an example of her for other far-right figures. He was ousted from his congressional seat in Western North Carolina by State Senator Chuck Edwards.

The tactics behind Cawthorn’s scorched-earth approach to intra-party criticism were key to his defeat. Sen. Thom Tillis and other leading North Carolina Republicans didn’t just vocally denounce Cawthorn — they identified and rallied around just one opponent among the eight candidates. Although the anti-Cawthorn vote was fractured between several contenders, efforts to elevate Edwards as the primary alternative paid off.

Cawthorn’s loss was also a loss for Trump, who had taken to his own social media network, Truth Social, to defend the 26-year-old congressman on Sunday night. Trump wrote, “He’s made some stupid mistakes lately, which I don’t think he’ll make again…let’s give Madison a second chance!”

The Evolution of Democratic “Electability”

What it means to be a top Democratic rookie is changing.

On Tuesday night, Lt. Gov. John Fetterman, a 6-foot-8 bald, tattooed former mayor known for wearing shorts and hoodies, ran off with Pennsylvania’s Democratic Senate primary. In North Carolina, former chief justice of the state Supreme Court, Cheri Beasley, has largely cleared the primary field and rubbed shoulders with a nomination that could make her the state’s first black female senator.

Their wins are part of a shift in the Democratic Party, where what was a good recruit in past cycles meant someone who looked a lot more like the people Fetterman and Beasley beat.

In Pennsylvania, Fetterman — who Democratic voters saw as genuine and a fighter — beat Rep. Conor Lamb, a polished Navy veteran who has beaten Republicans in tough races and enjoys a warm relationship with President Joe Biden.

And in North Carolina, Beasley was so widely considered the leading candidate that another rising Democratic star who would have been a top recruit in years past, State Senator and Army National Guardsman Jeff Jackson , ended his campaign months before the primary — falling behind Beasley by running for a House seat instead.

Whether what draws Democratic primary voters will translate into November eligibility in the two vacated seat races vacated by retired Republicans could play a key role in determining which party controls the Senate. next year.

Idaho’s far-right gubernatorial candidate falls flat

Idaho Governor Brad Little easily rebuffed an effort to overthrow him by his own lieutenant governor, Janice McGeachin.

McGeachin – who was elected lieutenant governor separately from Little; in Idaho, the two jobs are chosen in their own contests rather than as a single ticket – was among a string of far-right candidates who had sought to take control of the state government. It was endorsed by Trump, although Little had also backed Trump’s election lies and signed on to Texas’ legal effort to overturn some states’ 2020 results.

McGeachin had made headlines using his status as acting governor when Little briefly traveled out of state to implement coronavirus-related executive orders banning mask and vaccine mandates. Little immediately rescinded those orders upon his return.

Outside groups get modest return on big Democratic House primary bet

Outside groups have flooded moderate Democratic candidates with spending ahead of races in North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Oregon in a bid to outrun progressive outsiders and blunt the left’s recent momentum in the House primaries.

But with almost every vote, the returns on these investments look mixed. A pair of progressive candidates targeted in North Carolina lost badly, while Summer Lee, a Pennsylvania state representative vying to become the first black woman elected to the Commonwealth Congress, was in a tight race with her moderate rival in the 12th District of Pittsburgh.

Lee faced more than $3 million in expenses from the United Democracy Project, a super PAC aligned with the American Israel Public Affairs Committee and Democratic Majority for Israel. She received considerable support from the Justice Democrats and the Working Families Party, but those groups were still heavily spent.

In Oregon, incumbent Rep. Kurt Schrader, who had Biden’s endorsement with two big spending groups — Center Forward, a pharmaceutical-backed PAC, and mainstream Democrats, funded by LinkedIn founder Reid Hoffman – strengthening his campaign, followed challenger Jamie McLeod-Skinner, his progressive challenger, as votes poured in from the largest county in the newly drawn 5th District.

The implications of Tuesday’s results will also weigh on next week’s blockbuster runoff in Texas, where Jessica Cisneros is trying to unseat moderate incumbent Henry Cuellar, another big beneficiary of outside financial organizations.

Leave a Comment

Your email address will not be published.